Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.000778 0.000888 0.001005 0.001137 0.001283 0.001438 0.001615
2025-02-02 0.000619 0.000774 0.000949 0.001161 0.001409 0.001686 0.002020
2025-02-09 0.000513 0.000684 0.000886 0.001141 0.001449 0.001807 0.002250
2025-02-16 0.000431 0.000610 0.000830 0.001118 0.001479 0.001910 0.002458
2025-02-23 0.000383 0.000569 0.000809 0.001131 0.001546 0.002053 0.002713
2025-03-02 0.000341 0.000533 0.000787 0.001139 0.001603 0.002183 0.002951
2025-03-09 0.000292 0.000481 0.000739 0.001107 0.001605 0.002241 0.003099
2025-03-16 0.000251 0.000434 0.000694 0.001075 0.001603 0.002290 0.003232
2025-03-23 0.000225 0.000407 0.000673 0.001073 0.001638 0.002387 0.003429
2025-03-30 0.000202 0.000382 0.000654 0.001072 0.001674 0.002484 0.003626
2025-04-06 0.000180 0.000356 0.000630 0.001061 0.001694 0.002559 0.003794
2025-04-13 0.000158 0.000328 0.000601 0.001041 0.001698 0.002610 0.003931
2025-04-20 0.000147 0.000319 0.000600 0.001063 0.001766 0.002754 0.004198
2025-04-27 0.000137 0.000308 0.000597 0.001081 0.001828 0.002890 0.004458
2025-05-04 0.000120 0.000285 0.000572 0.001063 0.001835 0.002947 0.004609
2025-05-11 0.000105 0.000263 0.000545 0.001041 0.001834 0.002993 0.004743
2025-05-18 0.000098 0.000253 0.000540 0.001053 0.001885 0.003114 0.004987
2025-05-25 0.000090 0.000243 0.000533 0.001060 0.001928 0.003224 0.005216
2025-06-01 0.000077 0.000222 0.000504 0.001031 0.001912 0.003245 0.005316
2025-06-08 0.000067 0.000202 0.000477 0.001001 0.001893 0.003260 0.005406
2025-06-15 0.000060 0.000192 0.000466 0.000999 0.001919 0.003343 0.005598
2025-06-22 0.000055 0.000182 0.000456 0.000998 0.001946 0.003429 0.005794
2025-06-29 0.000049 0.000171 0.000441 0.000987 0.001957 0.003489 0.005953